trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 60¢ | 60¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 67¢ | 66¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 C | Jun 01 | $13 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | Jun 01 | $83 | −$48 | -57% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 01 | $44 | −$5 | -12% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 01 | $82 | +$163 | +200% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | May 31 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 20% | 20% | +16.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 20% | 20% | +16.4% |
| all | 5 | -13.4% | -21.7% | 20% | 20% | +16.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.7% | 20% | +16.4% |
| 10% | -29.2% | 20% | +5.2% |
| 15% | -36.0% | 20% | -4.9% |
| 20% | -42.3% | 20% | -14.2% |