Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:41:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FB
0xfbe2…f54a
crypto · 663 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$138 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$126 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$115
Realized−$126
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses379 / 241
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions43
Markets (closed)620 / 663
History coverage35d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 43 History 620 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$19
7 days−$18
14 days−$78
30 days−$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 76¢ 90¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Turkuaz vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs Fire Flux Esports 77¢ 90¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+18%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+26%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner G2 NORD 80¢ 83¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs WRAITH PCIFIC 74¢ 74¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 77¢ 68¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-12%)
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 72¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 79¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 76¢ 64¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-15%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 79¢ 81¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No 56¢ 56¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Bilibili Gaming 80¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 74¢ 66¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 79¢ 69¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 87¢ 88¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Washed 71¢ 86¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+20%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Gatorian 79¢ 94¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Ilbirs eSports 48¢ 51¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 47¢ 49¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Gen.G 78¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? No 84¢ 83¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B XI Esport 70¢ 68¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 74¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +218%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Rainbow Six Siege: FearX vs RRX (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North Jun 12 $6 +$3 +41%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $6 +$2 +27%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Rainbow Six Siege: Wildcard Gaming vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America Lea Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $1 $0 +31%
Rainbow Six Siege: M80 vs 100 Thieves (BO1) - North America League Sta Jun 11 $6 +$2 +40%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $6 −$6 -98%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $10 +$4 +40%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO3) - Asia Jun 11 $10 +$3 +32%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 11 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 11 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% −$60
crypto 35% −$77
other 6% −$2
politics 2% +$1
world 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 71¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs XCLAN (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B BUY Gatorian 79¢ $2 1h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 71¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 80¢ $1 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 70¢ $2 2h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie SELL Virtus.pro 100¢ $8 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 44¢ $1 2h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 58¢ $2 3h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 58¢ $2 3h
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 32¢ $1 3h
Rainbow Six Siege: FearX vs RRX (BO1) - Asia Pacific League APAC North SELL FearX 100¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 74¢ $1 4h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 80¢ $5 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $1 5h
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European SELL Young Ninjas 100¢ $8 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 76¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY ex-RUBY 80¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 70¢ $1 7h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 74¢ $5 7h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 79¢ $5 7h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 7h
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 74¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-15.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 212 +1.4% -8.3% 73% 72% -11.1%
≤30d 615 -6.2% -15.1% 61% 58% -15.5%
≤90d 620 -6.6% -15.5% 61% 57% -15.7%
all 620 -6.6% -15.5% 61% 57% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.5% 57% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.6% 48% -23.7%
15% -31.0% 27% -31.1%
20% -37.7% 12% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $115.30 · official $115.01 (match) · 1223 history records