trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +16.7% | +5.6% | 100% | 50% | +6.3% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -9.4% | -18.0% | 86% | 14% | -18.2% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -4.3% | -13.4% | 93% | 7% | -13.6% |
| all | 18 | -3.6% | -12.7% | 94% | 6% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.7% | 6% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -21.1% | 6% | -21.2% |
| 15% | -28.7% | 0% | -28.8% |
| 20% | -35.7% | 0% | -35.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5 | Over | 72¢ | 100¢ | $585 | $812 | +$227 (+39%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 26 | $583 | +$6 | +1% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5 | Jun 20 | $649 | +$210 | +32% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $551 | −$548 | -99% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $550 | +$1 | +0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? | Jun 14 | $546 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $270 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control O | Jun 01 | $274 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8? | May 09 | $540 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 01 | $250 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April | May 01 | $295 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "BEEF: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Apr 27 | $500 | +$1 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Apr 13 | $543 | +$1 | +0% |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Apr 10 | $542 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormu | Apr 09 | $542 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Artemis II launch by March 31? | Apr 01 | $541 | +$1 | +0% |
| Bucks vs. Clippers | Mar 24 | $541 | +$1 | +0% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Mar 19 | $540 | +$1 | +0% |
| Knicks vs. Jazz | Mar 12 | $539 | +$1 | +0% |