Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:58:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FB 0xfbf0…160f crypto 1556 markets active 2h ago coverage 13d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 13d only
✗ bot/MM pace (147 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$559 (+10%) realized +$559 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate75%1160W / 396L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day147.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$1
14 days−$41
30 days−$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (147 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 +0.3% -9.3% 84% 30% -9.6%
≤30d 1556 -0.5% -10.0% 75% 43% -10.2%
≤90d 1556 -0.5% -10.0% 75% 43% -10.2%
all 1556 -0.5% -10.0% 75% 43% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover147.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 43% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 19% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 6% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
38% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.32 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$559
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses1160 / 396
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1556 / 1556
History coverage13d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day147.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1556 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records