Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:27:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc08…a137
sports · 131 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$28,741 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$30,634 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,465
Realized+$30,634
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses103 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$11,926
Open positions2
Markets (closed)165 / 131
History coverage19d
Avg bet$3,823
Trades / day175.6
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 165 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,085
7 days+$22,606
14 days+$25,003
30 days+$30,634
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 28¢ 10¢ $10,005 $3,443 −$6,562 (-66%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 34¢ 34¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1011%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Philadelphia Phillies 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Chicago Cubs 61¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers San Francisco Giants 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+46%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Athletics 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+112%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies 9¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+1000%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 22¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+359%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 66¢ 90¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Athletics 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+73%)
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Athletics 49¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+105%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+108%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics Seattle Mariners 63¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+118%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Angels 77¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Los Angeles Dodgers 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+73%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs San Francisco Giants 47¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+114%)
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins 54¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+84%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $0 +$96 +121044%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $0 +$22 +40919%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Jun 13 $0 +$1,195 +887644%
Athletics vs. San Diego Padres Jun 13 $0 −$1 -120%
Stars vs. Wild Jun 13 $20 +$50 +248%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Sabres vs. Canadiens Jun 13 $0 +$22 +5661%
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Jets vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $286 −$202 -71%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $0 $0 -120%
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics Jun 13 $5 −$11 -208%
Golden Knights vs. Utah Jun 13 $0 $0 -301%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Kings vs. Kraken Jun 13 $0 $0 +157%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $0 +$1,498 +1063266%
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026? Jun 13 $336 −$336 -100%
Flyers vs. Penguins Jun 13 $13 +$218 +1742%
Canadiens vs. Islanders Jun 13 $244 −$233 -96%
Minnesota Twins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 13 $4 −$49 -1180%
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $0 $0 -124%
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners Jun 13 $0 −$1 -142%
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 13 $0 +$1 +268%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 13 $0 $0 -216%
Avalanche vs. Kings Jun 13 $90 +$1,066 +1186%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $0 +$19 +7108%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Rangers vs. Panthers Jun 13 $0 +$538 +211268%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Jun 13 $0 +$32 +19842%
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $0 $0 -181%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 13 $0 −$1 -220%
Avalanche vs. Oilers Jun 13 $1,322 −$1,772 -134%
Canucks vs. Ducks Jun 13 $1,252 −$1,366 -109%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $1,880 +$45 +2%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $117 +$10 +8%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $26,893 +$59 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $18,632 −$1,429 -8%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $6,990 +$443 +6%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $4,351 +$269 +6%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $543 +$23 +4%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $10,728 +$1,600 +15%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $5,847 +$1,020 +17%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $1,681 +$20 +1%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $6,290 +$1,215 +19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $6,998 −$798 -11%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $234 +$132 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$30,027
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $37 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $8 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $30 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $2,170 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $37 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $1 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ $55 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $17 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $2,235 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $296 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $8 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $41 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $1 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $3 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 29¢ $35 6m
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 26¢ $5,108 6m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 25¢ $3 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 24¢ $12 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 24¢ $48 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 23¢ $183 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 23¢ $731 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 23¢ $928 15m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Colorado Rockies 23¢ $2,269 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+413.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 +434.3% +383.4% 62% 44% -3.3%
≤30d 165 +468.0% +413.9% 62% 43% -3.8%
≤90d 165 +468.0% +413.9% 62% 43% -3.8%
all 165 +468.0% +413.9% 62% 43% -3.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover175.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +413.9% 43% -3.8%
10% +364.7% 33% -13.0%
15% ← realistic here +319.8% 28% -21.4%
20% +278.6% 28% -29.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,464.60 · official $3,444.77 (match) · 3500 history records