trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Morocco? | Yes | 7¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-20%) |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? | Yes | 8¢ | 5¢ | $6 | $4 | −$2 (-31%) |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $3 | −$2 (-49%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 12¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Vitality | 7¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 12¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | NRG | 64¢ | 0¢ | $25 | $0 | −$25 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | PARIVISION | 25¢ | 0¢ | $42 | $0 | −$42 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $45 | +$720 | +1593% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$9 | -90% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$7 | -44% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $15 | −$4 | -28% |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | Jun 13 | $25 | −$14 | -58% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner | Jun 13 | $77 | −$37 | -49% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $71 | +$14 | +20% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner | Jun 13 | $27 | +$34 | +126% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $45 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $28 | +$32 | +114% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $15 | +$34 | +223% |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | Jun 10 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +90.8% | +72.6% | 33% | 33% | +155.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +90.8% | +72.6% | 33% | 33% | +155.7% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +90.8% | +72.6% | 33% | 33% | +155.7% |
| all | 15 | +90.8% | +72.6% | 33% | 33% | +155.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +72.6% | 33% | +155.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +56.1% | 27% | +131.2% |
| 15% | +41.0% | 27% | +108.9% |
| 20% | +27.2% | 27% | +88.4% |