Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:16:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc29…1c34
crypto · 183 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,443 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,462 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$505
Realized+$1,462
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses20 / 147
Open positions16
Markets (closed)167 / 183
History coverage68d
Avg bet$40
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 16 History 167 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$221
7 days−$1,896
14 days+$2,375
30 days+$1,390
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $187 $225 +$38 (+20%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $49 $54 +$4 (+9%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No 2¢ 2¢ $41 $39 −$2 (-6%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $30 $34 +$4 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $82 $34 −$48 (-59%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? Yes 6¢ 4¢ $28 $20 −$7 (-26%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $15 $19 +$4 (+28%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $17 $19 +$2 (+11%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $16 $12 −$4 (-27%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-22%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No 1¢ 0¢ $15 $9 −$6 (-40%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $7 $8 +$2 (+25%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? No 1¢ 1¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-22%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8 $7 −$2 (-19%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $5 $6 +$2 (+30%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 7? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 28? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? No 1¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 3, 10PM ET? No 1¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 19? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 26? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $126 −$121 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $73 −$21 -29%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $29 −$28 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $1 $0 -22%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $32 −$29 -92%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $11 −$10 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $126 −$120 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $41 −$39 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $43 −$40 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $63 −$60 -96%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $41 −$38 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $9 −$9 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $39 −$39 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $11 −$11 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $63 −$62 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 07 $1,161 −$20 -2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $42 −$42 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $47 −$46 -99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $120 −$118 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $33 −$31 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $77 −$74 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $18 −$17 -95%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $22 −$22 -99%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $29 −$27 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $111 −$105 -94%
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $8 −$5 -70%
Will Bitcoin dip to $53,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $32 −$31 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $69 −$67 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 06 $28 −$27 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $55 −$52 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $26 −$24 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $92 −$90 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $218 −$214 -98%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $140 −$19 -14%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $19 +$29 +151%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 6? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $67 −$64 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $96 −$91 -95%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $0 $0 +430%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$1,458
tech 3% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? BUY No 1¢ $9 30m
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 1¢ $9 33m
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 34m
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 57m
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 3¢ $17 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $7 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $18 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY Yes 6¢ $7 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? BUY Yes 6¢ $29 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? BUY Yes 3¢ $17 1h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on BUY Yes 5¢ $9 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY Yes 2¢ $49 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? BUY Yes 2¢ $25 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -78.9% -80.9% 4% 4% -91.6%
≤30d 133 +2.5% -7.3% 13% 12% -3.3%
≤90d 167 -2.1% -11.4% 12% 11% -5.5%
all 167 -2.1% -11.4% 12% 11% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 11% -5.5%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 11% -14.6%
15% -27.6% 11% -22.8%
20% -34.7% 10% -30.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $505.00 · official $525.25 · 1645 history records