trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.4% | -9.2% | 100% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 67% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +6.9% | -3.3% | 92% | 17% | -7.8% |
| all | 16 | +5.2% | -4.8% | 94% | 12% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -4.8% | 12% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -13.9% | 6% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -22.2% | 6% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -29.9% | 6% | -32.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $49 | $49 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 16 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Gemini 3.5 released by May 31? | May 22 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? | May 19 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | May 15 | $30 | $0 | +1% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $500B and $600B at market close on | May 13 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 27-May 3? | May 13 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playo | Apr 29 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Chal | Apr 29 | $3 | +$2 | +53% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK | Apr 29 | $5 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026? | Mar 29 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,500 February 2-8? | Mar 29 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 31, 2026? | Feb 06 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? | Feb 06 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | Feb 06 | $12 | $0 | +0% |