trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +37.2% | +24.2% | 44% | 44% | -6.4% |
| ≤30d | 28 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 46% | 46% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 28 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 46% | 46% | -14.1% |
| all | 28 | +14.6% | +3.7% | 46% | 46% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +3.7% | 46% | -14.1% |
| 10% | -6.3% | 43% | -22.3% |
| 15% | -15.3% | 43% | -29.8% |
| 20% | -23.6% | 36% | -36.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick? | Yes | 20¢ | 12¢ | $49 | $30 | −$18 (-38%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 27¢ | 24¢ | $23 | $21 | −$2 (-8%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 53¢ | 65¢ | $15 | $18 | +$3 (+23%) |
| Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 63¢ | 54¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-15%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $14 | −$6 (-31%) |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Germany | 28¢ | 38¢ | $10 | $14 | +$4 (+37%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+28%) |
| World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? | Yes | 23¢ | 18¢ | $15 | $12 | −$3 (-20%) |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | Yes | 23¢ | 22¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $7 | +$2 (+35%) |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-43%) |
| Will any U.S. Senator enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-78%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $5 | +$26 | +508% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Morocco 2 - 1 Haiti? | Jun 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $9 | +$23 | +248% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 24 | $8 | +$7 | +84% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $15 | +$25 | +162% |
| Will Deniz Undav be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $10 | $0 | -5% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $5 | +$5 | +92% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $15 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $20 | +$15 | +72% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $34 | +$16 | +46% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$5 | +45% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$9 | +92% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 17 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 17 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Spread: Germany (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $16 | +$16 | +99% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$6 | +58% |