Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc40…f21f
crypto · 945 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$241 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$241 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$241
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses489 / 456
Open positions0
Markets (closed)945 / 945
History coverage45d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day59.3
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 945 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$3
14 days+$64
30 days+$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$7 -35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$7 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $19 +$2 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$2 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$3 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $19 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$15 +144%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$3 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$2 -20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$3 -40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$241
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 37¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $8 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $9 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $7 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $19 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $8 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $9 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $12 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $37 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $11 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 16h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $7 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-7.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -1.8% -11.1% 45% 22% -9.8%
≤30d 900 +2.8% -7.0% 51% 36% -6.5%
≤90d 945 +2.8% -7.0% 52% 36% -6.4%
all 945 +2.8% -7.0% 52% 36% -6.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.0% 36% -6.4%
10% ← realistic here -15.9% 29% -15.3%
15% -24.0% 2% -23.5%
20% -31.5% 0% -31.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2722 history records