Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:37:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FC 0xfc4a…f757 crypto 783 markets active 1d ago coverage 31d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$22 (-1%) realized −$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate87%685W / 98L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day26.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$38
7 days−$44
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$30
other 3% −$3
sports 2% −$1
weather 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -6.8% -15.7% 83% 24% -14.0%
≤30d 782 -1.8% -11.2% 87% 22% -10.8%
≤90d 783 -1.8% -11.2% 87% 22% -10.8%
all 783 -1.8% -11.2% 87% 22% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover26.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 22% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 11% -19.3%
15% -27.4% 7% -27.1%
20% -34.5% 5% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
73% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$4 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses685 / 98
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)783 / 783
History coverage31d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day26.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 783 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$2 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +55%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$6 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 16 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $6 +$1 +25%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $6 −$6 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 26h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 27h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 27h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 27h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 28h
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 28h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 28h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1567 history records