trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 20% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -7.2% | -16.1% | 15% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -7.2% | -16.1% | 15% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 22 | -8.4% | -17.1% | 32% | 0% | -10.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.1% | 0% | -10.5% |
| 10% | -25.0% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -32.3% | 0% | -26.9% |
| 20% | -38.9% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $55 | −$1 | -1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $27 | −$1 | -3% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 09 | $59 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 09 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 06 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $41 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 28 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok? | Jun 27 | $2 | −$2 | -91% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will UCR win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 16 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 23 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 20 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 12 | $3 | $0 | -1% |