trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 62% | 12% | -8.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.6% | -8.1% | 62% | 12% | -8.0% |
| all | 25 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 48% | 4% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.0% | 4% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -19.5% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -27.3% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -34.4% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $41 | $41 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 26 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 25 | $45 | +$1 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 24 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $35 | +$5 | +16% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 24 | $33 | +$2 | +7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 23 | $38 | −$5 | -13% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 05 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Ethereum above $2,700 on June 3? | Jun 02 | $22 | −$1 | -4% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | Jun 02 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108K and $110K on May 30? | May 31 | $23 | $0 | +2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | May 30 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Virgil Alexandru Zidaru be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | May 30 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 World Series? | May 29 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31? | May 29 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Solana dip to $130 in May? | May 28 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | May 27 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | May 26 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 24 | $1 | −$1 | -54% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? | May 23 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1400 in May? | May 23 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair? | May 16 | $23 | $0 | +0% |