Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:30:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc6d…b6f5
crypto · 814 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$68 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses431 / 383
Open positions0
Markets (closed)814 / 814
Avg bet$4
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 814 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $3 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$3 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$3 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $4 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $0 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +7.0% -3.2% 62% 62% -4.1%
≤30d 50 +7.0% -3.2% 62% 62% -4.1%
≤90d 92 +0.1% -9.5% 62% 53% -9.8%
all 814 -2.8% -12.1% 53% 51% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.1% 51% -11.7%
10% -20.5% 50% -20.1%
15% -28.2% 44% -27.8%
20% -35.2% 33% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1802 history records