Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:51:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc7e…ca0a
crypto · 281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$503 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$503 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$503
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses231 / 49
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)280 / 281
History coverage52d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day19.1
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 280 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$38
14 days+$38
30 days+$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$21 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $63 −$13 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$29 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $80 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $90 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $85 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $54 −$41 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $63 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$19 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$14 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$20 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$50 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $45 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$9 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$12 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$10 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$7 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$37 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$5 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$8 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$3 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$472
sports 0% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 +0.4% -9.2% 77% 54% -8.0%
≤30d 69 +0.4% -9.2% 77% 54% -8.0%
≤90d 280 +0.0% -9.5% 82% 37% -7.5%
all 280 +0.0% -9.5% 82% 37% -7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 37% -7.5%
10% -18.1% 16% -16.3%
15% -26.1% 10% -24.4%
20% -33.3% 5% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1260 history records