Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:37:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfc92…27c9
other · 476 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,073 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,131 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$1,131
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses28 / 406
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions7
Markets (closed)434 / 476
History coverage37d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day60.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 7 History 434 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$111
7 days−$296
14 days−$584
30 days−$1,103
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Nick Fuentes federally charged? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-36%)
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-46%)
Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 28¢ 1¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-95%)
Will Ionuț Dumitru be the next Prime Minister of Romania? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-12%)
Will the next governing coalition of Romania include AUR? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-48%)
Will Don Kelly win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? Yes 18¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-42%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $418 −$4 -1%
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$6 -50%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 12 $450 −$17 -4%
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? Jun 12 $9 −$1 -9%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? Jun 12 $40 $0 -1%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $7 −$1 -20%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? Jun 12 $69 $0 -1%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico win on Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: Canada (-1.5) AND Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a dra Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Canada (-1.5) A Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Jun 12 $9 +$1 +13%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico win on Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Korea Republic Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primar Jun 12 $77 −$9 -12%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31? Jun 12 $18 $0 -0%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will South Africa w Jun 11 $2 $0 +3%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico vs. South Africa end i Jun 11 $14 +$1 +7%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico vs. South Afric Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June? Jun 11 $84 −$5 -6%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? Jun 11 $74 $0 -1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 AND Will South Africa win on 2026-06- Jun 11 $5 $0 +5%
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June? Jun 11 $66 −$1 -1%
Will Hurupay launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $22 −$6 -26%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? Jun 11 $17 −$4 -24%
Will Konnor Griffin win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? Jun 11 $103 −$1 -0%
Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title? Jun 11 $191 −$2 -1%
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Jun 11 $44 −$4 -10%
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? Jun 11 $23 −$4 -15%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $325 −$3 -1%
Will Douglas Lumsden win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election? Jun 11 $72 −$8 -11%
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? Jun 11 $40 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $77 −$1 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? Jun 11 $33 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? Jun 11 $56 −$7 -12%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 11 $13 −$6 -50%
Will the JNE certify results of the second round of the 2026 Peruvian Jun 11 $26 −$6 -24%
Will Lara Bird win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election? Jun 11 $42 −$2 -4%
Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 10 $62 −$7 -12%
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Jun 10 $14 −$6 -46%
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber Jun 10 $7 −$1 -12%
Will Leonard Jackson advance from the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 10 $0 $0 -100%
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026? Jun 10 $234 −$7 -3%
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026? Jun 10 $78 $0 -0%
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? Jun 10 $27 −$5 -20%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 10 $489 −$15 -3%
Will Top Esports win LPL 2026 Split 2? Jun 10 $46 −$5 -10%
Will Surf launch a token by December 31, 2026? Jun 10 $55 −$6 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 39% −$657
politics 18% −$204
world 15% −$98
finance 9% −$33
sports 8% −$33
tech 7% −$79
culture 3% −$16
crypto 1% −$19
economics 1% −$1
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 0m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 10m
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 93¢ $19 10m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 94¢ $9 24m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 5¢ $0 52m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AN BUY 7¢ $1 52m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 5¢ $0 52m
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 96¢ $10 54m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AN BUY 88¢ $7 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? SELL Yes 9¢ $2 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY No 92¢ $37 1h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? BUY Yes 8¢ $3 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $16 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $16 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $8 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $33 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $8 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $33 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $7 2h
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY 18¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 80¢ $10 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $22 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 20¢ $8 2h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AN BUY 4¢ $0 2h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AN BUY 4¢ $0 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 21¢ $0 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end BUY 18¢ $2 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AND Will United States vs. Paraguay end BUY 84¢ $8 2h
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor by September 30, 2026? SELL No 15¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -11.4% -19.9% 13% 5% -15.1%
≤30d 417 -13.4% -21.7% 6% 2% -15.7%
≤90d 434 -12.6% -20.9% 6% 2% -15.7%
all 434 -12.6% -20.9% 6% 2% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover60.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 2% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 1% -23.8%
15% -35.4% 1% -31.2%
20% -41.7% 0% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.44 · official $140.38 · 2420 history records