Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T09:23:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FC 0xfcbf…1439 crypto 310 markets active 0h ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1072 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$697 (+7%) realized +$697 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -65% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -73% what you keep after slip
Net edge-73%after slip
Net WR9%break-even
Win rate19%146W / 634L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$34per market
Trades / day1072.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$411
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1072 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-68.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 780 -64.7% -68.1% 19% 9% -57.3%
≤30d 780 -64.7% -68.1% 19% 9% -57.3%
≤90d 780 -64.7% -68.1% 19% 9% -57.3%
all 780 -64.7% -68.1% 19% 9% -57.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1072.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -68.1% 9% -57.3%
10% ← realistic here -71.1% 5% -61.4%
15% -73.9% 3% -65.1%
20% -76.5% 1% -68.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -53% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -65% · $-wt -53% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -29% → late -100% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
10.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$19 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.05 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$697
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses146 / 634
Open positions0
Markets (closed)780 / 310
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$34
Trades / day1072.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 780 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 28 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 28 $21 −$21 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 28 $25 −$25 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 28 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 28 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 28 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 28 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 28 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 28 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 28 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 28 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 28 $32 −$32 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 28 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 28 $19 −$19 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 28 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 28 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $95 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $77 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $72 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $97 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $93 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $98 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records