Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcc4…700c
crypto · 882 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,846 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,845 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$693
Realized−$3,845
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses360 / 666
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1026 / 882
History coverage2d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day1688.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1026 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,845
7 days−$3,845
14 days−$3,845
30 days−$3,845
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 59¢ 46¢ $900 $689 −$211 (-23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 72¢ 55¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -118%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$20 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -289%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$35 -175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2835%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,049
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $102 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $103 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $103 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $102 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $103 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $103 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $103 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $104 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $104 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $103 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $54 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-32.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1026 -25.2% -32.3% 35% 33% -18.6%
≤30d 1026 -25.2% -32.3% 35% 33% -18.6%
≤90d 1026 -25.2% -32.3% 35% 33% -18.6%
all 1026 -25.2% -32.3% 35% 33% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1688.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -32.3% 33% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -38.8% 31% -26.4%
15% -44.7% 28% -33.5%
20% -50.1% 25% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $692.61 · official $1,054.28 · 3500 history records