Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:31:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfccc…b157
crypto · 612 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$604 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$593 · open −$10
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$593
Unrealized−$10
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses345 / 266
Open positions1
Markets (closed)611 / 612
History coverage153d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day9.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$250
14 days−$434
30 days−$344
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$10 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$4 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$7 +58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$7 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$3 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$5 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$6 +59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$228
world 16% −$51
finance 10% −$131
other 7% −$115
sports 6% −$70
politics 1% −$1
economics 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $0 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $7 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $6 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $7 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 446 -8.5% -17.2% 60% 59% -16.4%
≤30d 498 -7.5% -16.3% 59% 58% -16.2%
≤90d 498 -7.5% -16.3% 59% 58% -16.2%
all 611 -8.2% -17.0% 56% 53% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.0% 53% -18.4%
10% -24.9% 41% -26.2%
15% -32.2% 33% -33.3%
20% -38.8% 24% -39.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.09 · official $0.09 (match) · 1782 history records