trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 50% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 18% | 4% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 4% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -21.9% | 4% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 4% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 4% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $314 | $314 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 18 | $313 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $297 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 14 | $297 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lucas rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025 | Dec 29 | $300 | −$150 | -50% |
| Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Dec 15 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October? | Nov 21 | $106 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Brentford win on 2025-09-27? | Oct 25 | $53 | −$26 | -50% |
| Will Marian Vanghelie be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | Sep 27 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Sep 27 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jul 21 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Oilers vs. Golden Knights | Jul 21 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | May 09 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Golden Knights vs. Red Wings | May 09 | $53 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 16 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Brentford wins the Premier League? | Mar 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 16 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Everton win on 2024-12-07? | Mar 16 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jan 19 | $0 | $0 | +73% |
| Will the Panthers win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,510 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Patriots win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,489 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Giants win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,478 | −$3 | -0% |
| Will the Dolphins win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,498 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Jaguars win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,603 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,576 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Colts win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,602 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Chargers win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,538 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Bengals win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,544 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025? | Oct 05 | $1,505 | −$3 | -0% |