trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 67% | 67% | +22.3% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +14.4% | +3.5% | 71% | 59% | -6.1% |
| all | 36 | +3.7% | -6.1% | 78% | 31% | -7.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.1% | 31% | -7.9% |
| 10% | -15.1% | 28% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -23.3% | 25% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -30.8% | 19% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves | San Francisco Giants | 44¢ | 50¢ | $72 | $83 | +$11 (+15%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | No | 48¢ | 48¢ | $61 | $60 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $84 | −$83 | -98% |
| Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals | Jun 03 | $82 | +$77 | +93% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox | May 27 | $106 | +$102 | +96% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $111 | −$109 | -98% |
| Sabres vs. Canadiens | May 13 | $104 | +$129 | +124% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $114 | +$77 | +67% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $72 | +$28 | +40% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 30 | $143 | −$142 | -99% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 30 | $112 | +$100 | +90% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Apr 15 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 11 | $147 | −$146 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Nuggets | Apr 11 | $107 | +$132 | +124% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | Apr 03 | $13 | +$2 | +12% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Apr 03 | $1,327 | +$22 | +2% |
| Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score | Mar 29 | $7 | +$4 | +61% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? | Mar 29 | $17 | +$5 | +32% |
| Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Mar 29 | $1,237 | +$53 | +4% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Mar 18 | $1,207 | +$72 | +6% |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | Mar 05 | $1,151 | +$56 | +5% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Feb 15 | $1,179 | −$29 | -2% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 03 | $1,124 | +$55 | +5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 | Jan 14 | $1,083 | +$40 | +4% |
| Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025? | Jan 05 | $1,038 | +$46 | +4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Dec 18 | $284 | −$284 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 18 | $251 | +$1 | +0% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | Dec 18 | $1,005 | +$64 | +6% |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | Dec 03 | $1,209 | +$47 | +4% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 8? | Nov 18 | $1,174 | +$35 | +3% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 08 | $1,097 | +$78 | +7% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | Nov 02 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31? | Nov 02 | $30 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025 | Nov 02 | $1,027 | +$20 | +2% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 01 | $69 | −$69 | -100% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Oct 31 | $49 | +$20 | +41% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 30 | $1,028 | +$18 | +2% |