Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcdc…d8e3
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,624 -38%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,445 · open −$181
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$599
Realized−$5,445
Unrealized−$181
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses148 / 454
Open positions13
Markets (closed)602 / 143
History coverage1d
Avg bet$102
Trades / day3361.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 602 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,445
7 days−$5,445
14 days−$5,445
30 days−$5,445
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 69¢ 98¢ $128 $181 +$53 (+41%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 44¢ 48¢ $84 $93 +$9 (+10%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 44¢ 52¢ $69 $80 +$11 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 47¢ 50¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+5%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 43¢ 48¢ $27 $31 +$4 (+14%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 32¢ 52¢ $18 $29 +$11 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 59¢ 56¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 41¢ 44¢ $19 $21 +$2 (+8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $18 $18 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 30¢ 48¢ $9 $15 +$5 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 65¢ 98¢ $9 $14 +$5 (+50%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 39¢ 48¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 47¢ 48¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 55¢ 46¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-15%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 34¢ 44¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+29%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 31¢ 2¢ $56 $4 −$52 (-94%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Down 40¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 28¢ 2¢ $20 $1 −$19 (-95%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+69%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+38%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+25%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+113%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+51%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$59 -8778%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$126 -179%
XRP Up or Down - April 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +77%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$11 -2625%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
XRP Up or Down - April 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +223%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$11 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +30%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$39 -19424%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$76 +356%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $170 −$170 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$585
other 0% −$73
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $9 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 602 -7.4% -16.2% 25% 20% -31.4%
≤30d 602 -7.4% -16.2% 25% 20% -31.4%
≤90d 602 -7.4% -16.2% 25% 20% -31.4%
all 602 -7.4% -16.2% 25% 20% -31.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3361.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 20% -31.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 17% -37.9%
15% -31.5% 15% -43.9%
20% -38.2% 13% -49.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $599.00 · official $584.15 · 3500 history records