Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FC 0xfce6…4408 other 1299 markets active 0h ago coverage 43d ⚠
BOTnot copyable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 43d only
✗ bot/MM pace (52 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,625 (-4%) realized −$1,625 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate97%1256W / 42L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$36per market
Trades / day51.7pace
Fees−$10est.
Kalshi-fit10%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days+$38
14 days−$77
30 days−$302
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 92% −$195
crypto 5% −$20
sports 3% −$134
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (52 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 320 +0.3% -9.3% 98% 2% -9.2%
≤30d 928 -1.1% -10.5% 97% 2% -10.4%
≤90d 1298 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 2% -10.2%
all 1298 -0.8% -10.3% 97% 2% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 2% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.9% 1% -18.8%
15% -26.7% 1% -26.6%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$29 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

43d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,625
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses1256 / 42
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1298 / 1299
History coverage43d ⚠
Avg bet$36
Trades / day51.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit10%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1298 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 +$3 +12%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $19 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $22 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Jun 17 $40 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $20 +$10 +50%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $30 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $40 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $27 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $50 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $21 −$20 -94%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $13 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $50 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $30 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $19 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $20 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 15m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 28m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 30m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 35m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $19 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 7h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 9h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? SELL Yes 100¢ $41 9h
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 98¢ $40 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 12h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 14h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 15h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 22h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 22h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 23h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 23h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 24h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 66¢ $20 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records