Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:05:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FC
0xfcfd…e3a9
crypto · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$156 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$156
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses33 / 31
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day248.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$156
7 days−$156
14 days−$156
30 days−$156
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$35 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$23 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$29 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$22 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$9 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $37 +$21 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $34 +$22 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$19 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$10 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$19 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$12 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$22 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$13 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$9 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$156
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -12.0% -20.4% 52% 45% -20.1%
≤30d 64 -12.0% -20.4% 52% 45% -20.1%
≤90d 64 -12.0% -20.4% 52% 45% -20.1%
all 64 -12.0% -20.4% 52% 45% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover248.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.4% 45% -20.1%
10% ← realistic here -28.0% 42% -27.7%
15% -35.0% 36% -34.7%
20% -41.4% 27% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 303 history records