trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 12 | $12 | −$11 | -92% |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 11 | $71 | −$59 | -83% |
| Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 09 | $558 | −$460 | -82% |
| TikTok banned in the US before May 2025? | Apr 03 | $29,983 | −$29,983 | -100% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Apr 03 | $7,178 | −$3,670 | -51% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Feb 25 | $716 | −$485 | -68% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 5 | -81.7% | -83.4% | 0% | 0% | -91.3% |
| all | 6 | -79.4% | -81.3% | 0% | 0% | -91.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -81.3% | 0% | -91.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -83.1% | 0% | -91.8% |
| 15% | -84.8% | 0% | -92.6% |
| 20% | -86.2% | 0% | -93.3% |