trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +32.1% | +19.6% | 58% | 58% | +4.0% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 63% | 63% | +4.0% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 63% | 63% | +4.0% |
| all | 27 | +30.4% | +18.0% | 63% | 63% | +4.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +18.0% | 63% | +4.0% |
| 10% | +6.7% | 56% | -6.0% |
| 15% | -3.6% | 48% | -15.1% |
| 20% | -13.0% | 33% | -23.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 54¢ | $543 | $428 | −$115 (-21%) |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | England | 54¢ | 57¢ | $108 | $115 | +$7 (+6%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Belgium | 41¢ | 20¢ | $165 | $78 | −$87 (-53%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-5.5) | Belgium | 1¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $45 | +$35 (+350%) |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | England | 31¢ | 34¢ | $31 | $34 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 19¢ | 10¢ | $20 | $11 | −$9 (-45%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-2.5) | Belgium | 21¢ | 3¢ | $42 | $6 | −$36 (-86%) |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | England | 29¢ | 35¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+21%) |
| Spread: Belgium (-3.5) | Belgium | 8¢ | 0¢ | $3 | $0 | −$2 (-94%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $403 | +$164 | +41% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $18 | −$18 | -100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $108 | +$92 | +85% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $36 | +$64 | +178% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 18 | $15 | +$85 | +567% |
| Spread: Canada (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $102 | +$131 | +129% |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first? | Jun 18 | $49 | −$48 | -97% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $82 | +$118 | +144% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $70 | +$30 | +43% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $370 | +$201 | +54% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $87 | +$213 | +245% |
| England vs. Croatia: England O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $98 | +$102 | +104% |
| Spread: Ghana (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $90 | −$90 | -100% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $142 | +$58 | +41% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $20 | +$5 | +25% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $204 | +$96 | +47% |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $177 | +$123 | +70% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Iraq O/U 0.5 | Jun 16 | $516 | −$516 | -100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | Jun 09 | $3,019 | +$419 | +14% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 19-25? | Jun 03 | $950 | +$216 | +23% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25? | Jun 03 | $3,519 | +$477 | +14% |