Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:17:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd55…f905
weather · 1044 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17,620 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,175 · open −$8,134
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$644
Realized−$9,175
Unrealized−$8,134
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses38 / 71
Est. fees paid−$24
Open positions461
Markets (closed)109 / 1044
History coverage2d
Avg bet$70
Trades / day2027.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 461 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9,175
7 days−$9,175
14 days−$9,175
30 days−$9,175
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%? No 100¢ 100¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-0%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%? No 100¢ 100¢ $54 $54 +$0 (+0%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? No 99¢ 99¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-0%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? No 98¢ 98¢ $53 $53 +$0 (+0%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? No 96¢ 98¢ $52 $53 +$1 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? No 93¢ 91¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? No 90¢ 89¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ceará win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 38¢ $2 $13 +$11 (+729%)
Will Novorizontino win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 24¢ $2 $8 +$7 (+430%)
Will Avaí win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 24¢ $2 $8 +$7 (+425%)
Will Juventude win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 23¢ $2 $8 +$6 (+407%)
Will Criciúma win Brazil Série B? Yes 5¢ 21¢ $2 $7 +$6 (+366%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? No 13¢ 12¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? Yes 17¢ 99¢ $1 $5 +$5 (+492%)
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $186 $5 −$181 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 9? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +4493%
Will Drake have exactly 9 songs in the Billboard top 10? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on May 30? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1092%
Will Kagiso Rabada win the 2026 IPL purple cap? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +4002%
Will Vaibhav Sooryavanshi win the 2026 IPL Orange Cap? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +3210%
Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races? Jun 12 $0 $0 +600%
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this we Jun 12 $0 $0 +2101%
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2106%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1236%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on June 2? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +2074%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general Jun 12 $0 $0 +305%
Will Kristian Gkolomeev win the 50m freestyle at the 2026 Enhanced Gam Jun 12 $0 $0 +902%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will Barcelona win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League? Jun 12 $0 $0 +400%
Will "Office Romance" be the top global Netflix movie this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2103%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 29? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +5362%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 24? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +6666%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 3? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1003%
Will May 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record? Jun 12 $0 $0 +300%
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 30? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 1? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +14181%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25? Jun 12 $0 +$136 +528630%
Will Navi win IEM Atlanta 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +9602%
Will DICK's Sporting Goods Q1 Dick's business comparable sales growth Jun 12 $0 $0 +400%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 23? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1002%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1? Jun 12 $0 +$29 +145324%
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +22644%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1004%
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 2 Jun 12 $0 $0 +1001%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1004%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 7? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1000%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $737 −$737 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $111 −$111 -100%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1,212 −$1,212 -100%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le Jun 12 $372 −$372 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $179 −$179 -100%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 Jun 12 $88 −$88 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Cristiano Ronaldo's national team advance the furthest at the 202 Jun 12 $19 −$18 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C or higher on June 12 Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $39 −$38 -98%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 29% −$4,669
other 28% −$8,057
politics 12% −$1,419
tech 9% −$124
sports 7% −$252
finance 6% −$2,322
world 5% −$640
culture 2% −$18
crypto 1% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $28 0m
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 87¢ $26 0m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 99¢ $30 0m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 91¢ $5 0m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 98¢ $25 0m
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $30 1m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? SELL Yes 12¢ $0 1m
Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? BUY No 100¢ $30 1m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 100¢ $30 2m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 12¢ $4 2m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 40¢ $12 2m
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day? BUY No 98¢ $29 2m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13? BUY No 63¢ $19 3m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 40¢ $12 3m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 5¢ $2 3m
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 91¢ $22 3m
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY No 99¢ $24 3m
Will Saudi Arabia win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $30 4m
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $224 4m
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 AL East title? BUY No 99¢ $30 6m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $7 7m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $7 7m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $7 7m
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY No 41¢ $13 7m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $7 7m
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 87¢ $7 7m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY No 99¢ $30 7m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? BUY No 14¢ $4 8m
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at le BUY No 98¢ $74 8m
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meetin BUY No 100¢ $15 8m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)+341.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 +387.4% +341.0% 35% 35% -99.6%
≤30d 109 +387.4% +341.0% 35% 35% -99.6%
≤90d 109 +387.4% +341.0% 35% 35% -99.6%
all 109 +387.4% +341.0% 35% 35% -99.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2027.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +341.0% 35% -99.6%
10% ← realistic here +298.8% 35% -99.7%
15% +260.3% 35% -99.7%
20% +225.0% 35% -99.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $644.50 · official $624.34 · 3500 history records