trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +11.5% | +0.9% | 100% | 100% | +0.9% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +5.4% | -4.6% | 100% | 33% | -3.3% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 82% | 27% | -6.1% |
| all | 11 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 82% | 27% | -6.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 27% | -6.1% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 18% | -15.1% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 9% | -23.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -30.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5 | Under | 46¢ | 46¢ | $48 | $47 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 26 | $42 | +$5 | +12% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Jun 07 | $21 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 18? | Jun 07 | $22 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 15? | May 17 | $22 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 14 | $6 | +$2 | +39% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | May 14 | $10 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | Apr 22 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 22 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23? | Apr 22 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | Apr 22 | $4 | $0 | +5% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets | Apr 22 | $4 | +$1 | +32% |