Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd72…b03b
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$32 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses13 / 40
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage616d
Avg bet$325
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit68%
Chart Positions 0 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $11 $0 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 13 $9 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 07 $10 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $15 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? Jun 05 $13 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $30 in May? Jun 05 $35 $0 +0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? May 28 $10 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 27 $10 $0 -0%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 26 $10 $0 -0%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 22 $15 $0 -0%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels May 22 $7 +$7 +93%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 21 $11 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $10 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 19 $10 $0 -0%
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 18 $59 $0 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $64 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 12 $63 $0 -0%
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 11 $62 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 08 $126 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 07 $126 $0 -0%
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 06 $64 $0 -0%
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $62 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 24 $59 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $66 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 23 $61 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 22 $65 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $63 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 18 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $66 $0 -0%
Timberwolves vs. Magic Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs Apr 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Rockets vs. Suns Apr 09 $6 +$5 +93%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers Apr 09 $11 +$9 +83%
Bulls vs. Wizards Apr 08 $13 +$6 +48%
Blackhawks vs. Sharks Apr 07 $7 +$5 +64%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies Apr 07 $18 +$2 +10%
Will Solana reach $140 in March? Apr 06 $46 +$1 +2%
Kraken vs. Lightning Mar 27 $23 −$23 -100%
Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 Mar 27 $22 −$22 -100%
Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers Mar 24 $25 +$8 +31%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 22 $111 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $4 $0 +0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? Feb 09 $84 +$4 +5%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 06 $13,535 −$14 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 20 $11 $0 -4%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jul 21 $15 $0 -2%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 05 $36 −$1 -2%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $19 $0 -2%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 11 $172 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 80% −$13
politics 13% −$8
other 5% −$2
sports 2% −$14
tech 1% +$4
crypto 1% +$1
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 1h
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 7h
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $9 17h
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $9 19h
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $10 6d
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $10 6d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $15 7d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $15 7d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $10 16d
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $10 17d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? BUY No 99¢ $13 18d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY No 100¢ $10 18d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $15 21d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $15 21d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $11 23d
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $11 23d
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Athletics 51¢ $7 23d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $10 24d
Will Solana dip to $30 in May? BUY No 100¢ $35 24d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 25d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 25d
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $58 25d
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $59 26d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $64 26d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $64 26d
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $63 32d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 16 +5.7% -4.3% 19% 6% -7.6%
≤90d 41 +0.5% -9.1% 27% 15% -10.3%
all 53 +0.3% -9.3% 25% 11% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.3% 11% -9.7%
10% -18.0% 11% -18.3%
15% -25.9% 9% -26.2%
20% -33.1% 8% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 286 history records