Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:40:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd72…481d
sports · 64 markets active 1h ago
9.0score
+$1,229 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses51 / 13
Est. fees paid−$57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage9d
Avg bet$117
Trades / day14.2
Drawdown18%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$592
7 days+$1,113
14 days+$1,229
30 days+$1,229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 40¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 58¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 64¢ 0¢ $175 $0 −$175 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner BIG 74¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 67¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 52¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Liquid 35¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 79¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 55¢ 0¢ $180 $0 −$180 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $115 +$47 +41%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $199 +$22 +11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $147 +$28 +19%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $201 +$68 +34%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $129 +$17 +13%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $50 +$24 +48%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $60 +$35 +59%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $61 +$50 +82%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $301 +$47 +16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $52 +$21 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $242 +$62 +26%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $252 +$121 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $298 +$118 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $177 −$175 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $253 +$77 +30%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $253 +$154 +61%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $182 −$180 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $29 −$28 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $125 +$84 +67%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $303 +$22 +7%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $550 +$52 +10%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $175 +$35 +20%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $51 +$40 +79%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $45 +$39 +87%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $230 +$66 +29%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $217 +$11 +5%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $137 +$82 +59%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $169 +$67 +40%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $100 +$70 +70%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $103 −$102 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $60 −$57 -96%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $94 +$66 +69%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $77 +$16 +21%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $325 +$52 +16%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $157 +$19 +12%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $131 +$57 +43%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $77 −$77 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $89 +$79 +89%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $187 +$60 +32%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $21 +$17 +79%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $52 +$19 +36%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $50 +$102 +205%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $70 −$69 -99%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $57 −$56 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $51 +$26 +52%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 06 $29 −$29 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $115 −$95 -82%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $16 +$11 +67%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $52 +$13 +24%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $37 +$15 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 100¢ $162 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 70¢ $115 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $220 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $175 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $269 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 90¢ $199 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 74¢ $201 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 83¢ $147 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $146 3h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 88¢ $129 4h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $75 4h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $95 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $110 5h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 67¢ $50 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 62¢ $60 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $61 6h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $348 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $73 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 86¢ $301 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 71¢ $52 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $303 19h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 79¢ $242 19h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $373 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $416 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 71¢ $298 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 66¢ $98 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $252 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $80 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $331 23h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 76¢ $253 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)+5.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +15.9% +4.9% 79% 73% +5.7%
≤30d 64 +16.6% +5.5% 80% 75% +5.8%
≤90d 64 +16.6% +5.5% 80% 75% +5.8%
all 64 +16.6% +5.5% 80% 75% +5.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.5% 75% +5.8%
10% -4.6% 58% -4.3%
15% -13.8% 42% -13.5%
20% -22.3% 27% -22.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 129 history records