trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 0% | 0% | -34.5% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 0% | 0% | -34.5% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 0% | 0% | -34.5% |
| all | 6 | +37.3% | +24.2% | 17% | 17% | +136.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +24.2% | 17% | +136.9% |
| 10% | +12.3% | 17% | +114.2% |
| 15% | +1.5% | 17% | +93.5% |
| 20% | -8.5% | 17% | +74.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $3,863 | $3,283 | −$579 (-15%) |
| Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $525 | $512 | −$12 (-2%) |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | No | 22¢ | 22¢ | $292 | $285 | −$7 (-2%) |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $17 | $16 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1,040 | −$287 | -28% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Feb 26 | $1,289 | +$5,542 | +430% |
| Will Jupiter be accused of insider trading? | Feb 24 | $331 | −$89 | -27% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Feb 24 | $133 | −$13 | -10% |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | Feb 24 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua? | Dec 20 | $245 | −$103 | -42% |