Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfd91…b67b
sports · 59 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$23 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$16
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses26 / 22
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions11
Markets (closed)48 / 59
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day137.3
Drawdown61%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 11 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days+$16
14 days+$16
30 days+$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Misa Esports 71¢ 72¢ $21 $22 +$1 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 31¢ 26¢ $19 $15 −$3 (-18%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 24¢ 28¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+12%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Misa Esports 77¢ 78¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 28¢ 30¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 19¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 51¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+95%)
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs cincai team 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+119%)
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner WLGaming Esports 20¢ 10¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs ex-MANA eSports 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner Inner Circle 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 16¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Virtus.pro 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Monte 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$1 +5%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $13 −$11 -80%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $9 +$1 +6%
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $5 $0 +10%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $15 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $24 +$1 +3%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 +$3 +36%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$1 -18%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $10 $0 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 $0 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $13 −$2 -13%
Rainbow Six Siege: Five Fears vs Shopify Rebellion (BO1) - North Ameri Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 12 $7 −$2 -33%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $19 −$4 -22%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$2 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $5 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 -2%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $23 $0 -0%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$9 +164%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 −$1 -10%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $3 +$16 +482%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 +$5 +155%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $6 +$8 +143%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 77¢ $4 8m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 77¢ $4 8m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $3 9m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY Misa Esports 71¢ $21 9m
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY WLGaming Esports 20¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $2 9m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 21¢ $1 10m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 20¢ $1 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 28¢ $1 11m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 29¢ $1 11m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 21¢ $1 11m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 19¢ $1 12m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 23¢ $1 14m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL SPARTA 10¢ $3 14m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 30¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 41¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 31¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 56¢ $3 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 43¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $2 19m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $5 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 53¢ $3 21m
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 30¢ $2 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 29¢ $1 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 38¢ $2 22m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $2 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)+2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 +13.0% +2.2% 54% 12% -5.9%
≤30d 48 +13.0% +2.2% 54% 12% -5.9%
≤90d 48 +13.0% +2.2% 54% 12% -5.9%
all 48 +13.0% +2.2% 54% 12% -5.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover137.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.2% 12% -5.9%
10% ← realistic here -7.6% 12% -14.9%
15% -16.5% 12% -23.1%
20% -24.7% 10% -30.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.39 · official $57.63 · 340 history records