Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:47:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfddb…acf4
crypto · 102 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$18 -42%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses46 / 59
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 102
History coverage133d
Avg bet$0
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 —%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 12 $1 −$1 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Feb 12 $1 −$1 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Feb 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Feb 08 $1 $0 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Feb 08 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 30¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $0 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $0 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $0 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $0 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $0 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $0 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $0 6h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $0 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $0 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-47.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 3 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
≤90d 3 +0.0% -9.5% 0% 0% -9.5%
all 105 -41.6% -47.2% 44% 25% -33.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -47.2% 25% -33.2%
10% -52.2% 3% -39.6%
15% -56.8% 3% -45.4%
20% -61.1% 2% -50.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 905 history records