Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:12:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FD
0xfde1…925d
crypto · 1442 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$47 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses1199 / 242
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1441 / 1442
History coverage71d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1441 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days+$31
14 days+$48
30 days+$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $7 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $7 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $8 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 300 +1.4% -8.3% 82% 79% -8.3%
≤30d 538 +1.3% -8.4% 84% 72% -8.1%
≤90d 1441 -1.4% -10.8% 83% 59% -10.0%
all 1441 -1.4% -10.8% 83% 59% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.8% 59% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.3% 23% -18.6%
15% -27.1% 6% -26.4%
20% -34.3% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records