trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 42% | 38% | +3.0% |
| ≤30d | 26 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 42% | 38% | +3.0% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 42% | 38% | +3.0% |
| all | 26 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 42% | 38% | +3.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 38% | +3.0% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 38% | -6.8% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 38% | -15.8% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 35% | -24.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 42¢ | 43¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will United States be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 54¢ | 52¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Ghana finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 37¢ | 3¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $10 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Scotland vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 19 | $5 | −$3 | -60% |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $25 | +$16 | +62% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$3 | -56% |
| Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 | Jun 18 | $20 | +$32 | +159% |
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $25 | −$20 | -79% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| England vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | +$11 | +216% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $5 | +$5 | +101% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $32 | +$15 | +48% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| France vs. Senegal: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $4 | +$7 | +180% |
| France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $4 | +$8 | +188% |