Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:04:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe1e…2060
other · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$0 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses9 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage466d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown71%
Kalshi-fit54%
Chart Positions 0 History 28 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by Jun 12 $40 $0 -1%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $44 $0 -0%
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $20 $0 -0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Jun 07 $40 $0 -0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Jun 07 $67 $0 +0%
Iran leadership change by June 30? Jun 05 $18 $0 +0%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 05 $40 $0 +0%
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? Dec 16 $1 $0 -3%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? Jun 28 $13 $0 +0%
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13? Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Will India invade Pakistan before July? May 25 $14 $0 -0%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? May 24 $14 $0 +1%
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? May 21 $14 $0 -1%
Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the May 21 $12 +$1 +6%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? May 11 $13 $0 +0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? May 10 $13 $0 +0%
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in Epstein files? May 10 $13 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $3500 in May? May 10 $13 $0 -0%
Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 ele May 09 $13 $0 +0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2025 National League Championship? May 09 $13 $0 +0%
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? May 08 $13 $0 +0%
Will FIT-U hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following th May 08 $13 $0 +0%
Will Tom Hanks be named in Epstein files? May 07 $8 $0 -0%
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority? May 07 $5 $0 -1%
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? May 07 $13 $0 -0%
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025 May 06 $13 $0 +0%
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? May 06 $14 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 49% −$1
other 33% $0
politics 13% +$1
crypto 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $5 5m
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 1h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by SELL No 90¢ $40 18h
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by BUY No 91¢ $40 20h
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $7 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 95¢ $37 5d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 96¢ $44 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? SELL No 98¢ $20 5d
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? BUY No 98¢ $20 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? SELL No 81¢ $40 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? BUY No 81¢ $40 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 71¢ $7 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL No 71¢ $37 6d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY No 71¢ $44 6d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $12 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? SELL No 96¢ $6 7d
Iran leadership change by June 30? BUY No 96¢ $18 7d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $40 7d
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? BUY No 98¢ $40 7d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? SELL Yes 32¢ $23 8d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 32¢ $14 8d
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? BUY Yes 32¢ $9 8d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 90¢ $0 178d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 97¢ $1 323d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? SELL No 96¢ $13 349d
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 98¢ $1 349d
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13? BUY No 99¢ $2 369d
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? BUY No 96¢ $13 383d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -0.5% -10.0% 0% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 8 -0.4% -9.9% 12% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 8 -0.4% -9.9% 12% 0% -9.7%
all 28 +0.1% -9.5% 32% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 76 history records