Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:39:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe24…1261
crypto · 38 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$309 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$308 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$56
Realized+$308
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses34 / 3
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)37 / 38
History coverage533d
Avg bet$2,411
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 1 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No 100¢ 100¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? Jun 01 $55 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 17? May 13 $55 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Apr 17 $48 +$1 +2%
Iran leadership change by March 13? Mar 21 $54 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? Mar 14 $53 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 28? Mar 05 $53 $0 +0%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? Feb 27 $53 $0 +0%
Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? Feb 25 $53 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on February Feb 24 $53 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? Feb 02 $51 +$2 +3%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? Jan 04 $51 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? Dec 03 $50 $0 +1%
Will Solana reach $350 in October? Nov 19 $50 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? Oct 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Will Solana dip to $140 in May? May 17 $36 $0 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? May 12 $117 −$81 -70%
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 2? May 03 $115 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? May 01 $113 +$2 +2%
Will Solana reach $170 in April? Apr 30 $108 +$5 +4%
Will Solana dip to $80 in April? Apr 28 $107 +$1 +1%
Will Solana reach $150 in April? Apr 23 $56 +$51 +92%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31? Mar 22 $55 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by February 28, 2025? Mar 10 $1,105 +$1 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 25 $9,378 +$14 +0%
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany? Feb 24 $10,201 +$22 +0%
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election? Feb 24 $755 +$14 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 23 $16,674 +$51 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $4,750 by January 31, 2025? Feb 03 $5,285 +$5 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 27 $5,269 +$16 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 24 $5,248 +$21 +0%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 20 $10,428 +$37 +0%
Will someone else be inaugurated? Jan 12 $5,206 +$5 +0%
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated? Jan 11 $5,196 +$10 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $8,000.00 by March 31? Jan 11 $1,788 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 10 $3,398 +$10 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? Jan 09 $5,126 +$60 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? Dec 31 $5,069 +$56 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% +$218
politics 18% +$61
other 17% +$27
world 0% +$2
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $56 1h
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? BUY No 99¢ $55 32d
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on April 17? BUY No 100¢ $55 58d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 98¢ $48 85d
Iran leadership change by March 13? BUY No 99¢ $54 92d
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $53 101d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C on February 28? BUY No 100¢ $53 106d
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)? BUY No 100¢ $53 109d
Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? BUY No 100¢ $53 110d
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on February BUY No 100¢ $53 132d
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? BUY No 97¢ $51 160d
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? BUY No 99¢ $51 193d
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in November? BUY No 99¢ $50 207d
Will Solana reach $350 in October? BUY No 100¢ $50 237d
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in September? BUY No 99¢ $50 267d
Will Solana dip to $140 in May? SELL No 75¢ $35 393d
Will Solana dip to $140 in May? BUY No 76¢ $36 398d
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? SELL Yes 17¢ $35 398d
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May? BUY Yes 56¢ $117 407d
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2000 on May 2? BUY No 98¢ $115 409d
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? BUY No 98¢ $5 410d
Will Solana reach $170 in April? SELL No 100¢ $2 410d
Will Solana reach $170 in April? SELL No 100¢ $3 410d
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? BUY No 98¢ $18 410d
Will Solana reach $170 in April? SELL No 100¢ $5 410d
Will Solana reach $170 in April? SELL No 100¢ $12 410d
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? BUY No 99¢ $27 410d
Will Solana reach $170 in April? SELL No 100¢ $20 410d
Will Solana reach $170 in April? SELL No 100¢ $7 410d
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? BUY No 98¢ $64 410d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 0% -8.8%
≤90d 4 +0.8% -8.8% 100% 0% -8.8%
all 37 +1.3% -8.3% 92% 3% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~10%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.3% 3% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 3% -17.9%
15% -25.1% 3% -25.8%
20% -32.5% 3% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $55.77 · official $55.77 (match) · 584 history records