Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe27…f562
crypto · 954 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$121 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$934 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$934
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses466 / 488
Open positions0
Markets (closed)954 / 954
History coverage44d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day48.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 954 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$373
7 days−$373
14 days−$373
30 days−$1,124
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$41 -44%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $276 −$118 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$11 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$3 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$9 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $182 −$64 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3AM ET Jun 14 $55 +$3 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$28 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$5 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2AM ET Jun 14 $47 +$66 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$12 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$10 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$16 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$17 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $118 +$101 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$45 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $92 +$33 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$31 +67%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$24 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$19 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $71 +$19 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $128 +$55 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$17 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$46 -50%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$13 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$8 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $146 −$88 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$39 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$45 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$25 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$45 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $45 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$34 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$10 +23%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$6 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$3 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$15 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $45 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $92 +$54 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$13 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $46 +$14 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $93 −$10 -10%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $93 −$90 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$45 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $46 +$28 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$863
other 1% −$72
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $11 11m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $10 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $25 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 32m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $10 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $15 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $90 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $25 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $26 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 -9.8% -18.4% 62% 49% -13.7%
≤30d 569 -14.7% -22.9% 48% 42% -17.4%
≤90d 954 -6.9% -15.7% 49% 44% -14.4%
all 954 -6.9% -15.7% 49% 44% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover48.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 44% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 41% -22.6%
15% -31.2% 36% -30.1%
20% -37.9% 25% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2532 history records