Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T21:50:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
FE 0xfe4c…3b6e crypto 100 markets active 5d ago coverage 15d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$35,447 (+26%) realized +$35,447 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +51% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +11% what you keep after slip
Net edge+11%after slip
Net WR62%break-even
Win rate63%63W / 37L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown24%max
Avg bet$1,346per market
Trades / day108.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2,805
14 days−$2,494
30 days+$32,313
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$32,313
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +62%
net ROI/market (all)+36.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 +10.6% +0.1% 52% 52% -13.8%
≤30d 100 +50.8% +36.4% 63% 62% +12.6%
≤90d 100 +50.8% +36.4% 63% 62% +12.6%
all 100 +50.8% +36.4% 63% 62% +12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover108.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +36.4% 62% +12.6%
10% +23.4% 60% +1.9%
15% ← realistic here +11.4% 59% -8.0%
20% +0.5% 56% -17.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +24% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +51% · $-wt +24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$1,763) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +68% → late +34% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
12.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$1,286 vs −$1,316 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.66 per $1 lost it wins $1.66
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$35,447
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses63 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)100 / 100
History coverage15d
Avg bet$1,346
Trades / day108.6
Drawdown24%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 100 Trades
no open positions (34 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $830 −$806 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $642 +$73 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,493 −$1,422 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $502 +$124 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,554 +$1,500 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1,034 −$987 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $915 −$880 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $540 −$520 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $754 +$1,005 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $576 −$543 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,173 −$1,118 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $947 −$916 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,441 +$1,864 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $973 +$930 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $315 +$135 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1,710 −$1,665 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1,310 +$3,051 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,799 −$1,763 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $680 +$1,525 +224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $491 +$1,799 +366%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,147 −$2,102 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,280 +$1,336 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,964 −$1,905 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $657 −$625 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2,155 −$2,096 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,414 +$998 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,790 +$1,515 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1,979 +$1,513 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $254 +$159 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $3,746 −$3,632 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $2,210 +$1,732 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,232 +$1,125 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,904 +$1,752 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $685 +$953 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $777 −$742 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,471 −$1,422 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1,854 −$1,768 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,000 +$719 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3,659 −$3,518 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5,304 +$897 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,199 +$2,368 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1,516 −$1,443 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2,915 −$2,801 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2,020 −$1,578 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $1,620 +$3,787 +234%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $97 −$97 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $669 +$999 +149%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET May 31 $127 +$1,724 +1358%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET May 31 $199 −$188 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 31 $800 −$800 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $59 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $18 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $102 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $56 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $259 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $29 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $31 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $9 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $230 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $55 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $13 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $30 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $20 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1686 history records