Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:03:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe5a…705d
weather · 1699 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$22 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$13
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1614 / 37
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions49
Markets (closed)1651 / 1699
History coverage32d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 49 History 1651 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C or below on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 14? No 100¢ 100¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14? No 100¢ 99¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 13? No 100¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on June 13? Jun 14 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on June 13? Jun 14 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 32°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on June Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 13? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on Ju Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 90% −$2
sports 6% −$5
other 4% −$7
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 79¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C or below on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on June BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 100¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 469 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 1545 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -10.0%
≤90d 1651 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -10.0%
all 1651 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 1% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.4%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.95 · official $95.96 (match) · 3500 history records