| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? |
Jun 19 |
$21,430 |
+$15,615 |
+73% |
| Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? |
Jun 19 |
$2,827 |
+$173 |
+6% |
| Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? |
Jun 19 |
$4,986 |
+$14 |
+0% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? |
Mar 07 |
$815 |
+$935 |
+115% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? |
Feb 26 |
$1,046 |
−$1,046 |
-100% |
| Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by March 31, 2026? |
Feb 23 |
$1,820 |
+$180 |
+10% |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? |
Feb 23 |
$1,558 |
+$1,952 |
+125% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? |
Feb 09 |
$5,002 |
+$6,665 |
+133% |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? |
Feb 09 |
$39,490 |
+$1,492 |
+4% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Japan |
Feb 07 |
$5,449 |
+$228 |
+4% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
Feb 05 |
$1,965 |
+$115 |
+6% |
| U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? |
Feb 04 |
$4,896 |
+$641 |
+13% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? |
Feb 04 |
$2,960 |
−$160 |
-5% |
| Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31? |
Feb 03 |
$137 |
−$137 |
-100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: January |
Feb 03 |
$1,761 |
−$1,466 |
-83% |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? |
Feb 03 |
$4,022 |
+$259 |
+6% |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31? |
Feb 03 |
$3,910 |
+$124 |
+3% |
| Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? |
Feb 03 |
$4,026 |
+$163 |
+4% |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? |
Feb 01 |
$1,128 |
+$522 |
+46% |
| Body-cam footage of Maduro capture released by Jan 31? |
Feb 01 |
$168 |
+$32 |
+19% |
| Clavicular charged by Jan 31? |
Feb 01 |
$972 |
+$28 |
+3% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? |
Feb 01 |
$8,894 |
+$1,501 |
+17% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2026? |
Feb 01 |
$158 |
−$45 |
-29% |
| US bank failure by January 31? |
Jan 31 |
$30 |
+$470 |
+1567% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese |
Jan 30 |
$8 |
$0 |
+4% |
| Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair? |
Jan 30 |
$40 |
−$20 |
-50% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? |
Jan 28 |
$1,326 |
+$85 |
+6% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese |
Jan 28 |
$670 |
−$410 |
-61% |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Rese |
Jan 28 |
$109 |
−$25 |
-23% |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? |
Jan 28 |
$4,917 |
−$1,956 |
-40% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 40 |
Jan 27 |
$1,900 |
+$87 |
+5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m |
Jan 27 |
$1,902 |
+$88 |
+5% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? |
Jan 26 |
$219 |
+$506 |
+231% |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? |
Jan 25 |
$6,540 |
+$690 |
+11% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? |
Jan 25 |
$2,730 |
+$231 |
+8% |
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win more than 20% of votes in the first |
Jan 25 |
$960 |
+$40 |
+4% |
| Will António José Seguro win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first |
Jan 25 |
$0 |
$0 |
-100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 Port |
Jan 25 |
$26 |
−$26 |
-100% |
| Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Po |
Jan 25 |
$52 |
−$52 |
-100% |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the f |
Jan 25 |
$140 |
−$140 |
-100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win between 20% and 22% of votes in the first |
Jan 25 |
$115 |
−$115 |
-100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Po |
Jan 25 |
$554 |
−$509 |
-92% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win less than 16% of votes in the first round |
Jan 25 |
$964 |
−$964 |
-100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? |
Jan 22 |
$2,690 |
+$1,909 |
+71% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? |
Jan 21 |
$6,483 |
+$445 |
+7% |
| Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win more than 22% of votes in the first r |
Jan 19 |
$19 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential |
Jan 19 |
$2,202 |
−$1,147 |
-52% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presid |
Jan 19 |
$1,012 |
−$1,012 |
-100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win 3rd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Po |
Jan 19 |
$12 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| Will André Ventura win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal |
Jan 19 |
$761 |
+$1,173 |
+154% |