Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T13:17:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FE 0xfe73…6584 crypto 923 markets active 1h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d only
✗ bot/MM pace (64 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$509 (-2%) realized −$509 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate61%563W / 360L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$24per market
Trades / day64.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$448
7 days−$470
14 days−$975
30 days−$1,006
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$995
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (64 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 299 +2.6% -7.2% 56% 42% -13.8%
≤30d 680 -0.7% -10.2% 54% 39% -14.9%
≤90d 923 +0.3% -9.3% 61% 38% -13.5%
all 923 +0.3% -9.3% 61% 38% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover64.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 38% -13.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 22% -21.8%
15% -25.9% 14% -29.3%
20% -33.1% 11% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$9 · ×0.43 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$509
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses563 / 360
Open positions0
Markets (closed)923 / 923
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$24
Trades / day64.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 923 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$6 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$14 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $22 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$12 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$13 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$7 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $33 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $9 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records