trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 4 | +51.4% | +37.0% | 100% | 75% | +82.6% |
| all | 13 | +2.2% | -7.6% | 85% | 23% | +76.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 23% | +76.8% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 15% | +59.9% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 15% | +44.4% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 15% | +30.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 3 Colombia? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $30 | $29 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Colombia to score first vs. Uzbekistan? | Yes | 75¢ | 74¢ | $26 | $26 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 3 Colombia? | Yes | 8¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will USD/KRW hit 2000 (High) in 2026? | No | 92¢ | 97¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kings vs. Flames | Apr 18 | $230 | +$281 | +122% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Detroit Tigers | Apr 13 | $135 | +$95 | +70% |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Apr 10 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Solana dip to $30 in March? | Apr 10 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February? | Mar 08 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bill Clinton say "Mossad" during his Epstein testimony? | Mar 08 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings? | Feb 26 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top US Netflix show this week? (Feb | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Feb 26 | $1 | $0 | +10% |
| Will "luther - Kendrick Lamar With SZA" win Best Melodic Rap Performan | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 39 | Feb 26 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Jan 31 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |