Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe78…0319
sports · 66 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$791,495 -101%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$756,920 · open −$34,692
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$216,192
Realized−$756,920
Unrealized−$34,692
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses117 / 403
Whale WR (big bets)13%
Est. fees paid−$8,591
Open positions22
Markets (closed)520 / 66
Avg bet$11,897
Trades / day3431.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 22 History 520 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$756,920
7 days−$756,920
14 days−$756,920
30 days−$756,920
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 44¢ $79,158 $60,410 −$18,748 (-24%)
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Barbora Palicova 45¢ 100¢ $8,780 $19,365 +$10,585 (+121%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 47¢ 40¢ $22,396 $19,299 −$3,097 (-14%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 53¢ 59¢ $12,292 $13,664 +$1,372 (+11%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 70¢ 81¢ $11,716 $13,543 +$1,827 (+16%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 75¢ 87¢ $9,732 $11,245 +$1,513 (+16%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 38¢ 36¢ $11,184 $10,462 −$722 (-6%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 50¢ 41¢ $11,628 $9,535 −$2,093 (-18%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 43¢ 52¢ $6,963 $8,511 +$1,549 (+22%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 44¢ 47¢ $6,438 $6,910 +$471 (+7%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 44¢ 53¢ $5,706 $6,893 +$1,188 (+21%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 87¢ 88¢ $6,024 $6,051 +$27 (+0%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 48¢ 76¢ $3,499 $5,596 +$2,097 (+60%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 63¢ 62¢ $4,105 $4,101 −$4 (-0%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 44¢ 48¢ $3,386 $3,666 +$280 (+8%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 7¢ 12¢ $1,338 $2,519 +$1,181 (+88%)
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03? No 66¢ 100¢ $1,572 $2,371 +$800 (+51%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 41¢ 19¢ $5,078 $2,364 −$2,714 (-53%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 49¢ 48¢ $1,623 $1,590 −$33 (-2%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? No 53¢ 100¢ $812 $1,524 +$712 (+88%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 82¢ 81¢ $1,461 $1,452 −$9 (-1%)
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Vekic 68¢ 62¢ $1,016 $921 −$95 (-9%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 12¢ 13¢ $733 $777 +$45 (+6%)
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-02? No 31¢ 100¢ $188 $608 +$420 (+223%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 66¢ 60¢ $619 $559 −$59 (-10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Jun 12 $8,780 +$10,585 +121%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $1,572 +$800 +51%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $812 +$712 +88%
Will SD Eibar win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $188 +$425 +225%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $302 +$95 +32%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $95 −$30 -32%
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $23 $0 -1%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jana Kovackova vs Amandine Monnot Jun 12 $5 +$1 +19%
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
FC Midtjylland vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +144%
Centurion: Devin Badenhorst vs Akira Santillan Jun 12 $1 +$20 +3415%
Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $1 −$2 -278%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$2 -314%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 −$220 -46759%
Cusco FC vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Jun 12 $0 +$1 +477%
Spread: PortlandFire (-7.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +133%
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +37%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +93%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Anhelina Kalinina vs Anna Bondar Jun 12 $1 −$3,136 -602658%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +174%
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $1 −$8 -1452%
Spread: Connecticut Sun (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +139%
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta Jun 12 $0 $0 +35%
Chisinau: Francesco Maestrelli vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $0 +$262 +91724%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
Will Rodez Aveyron Football win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 $0 +23%
CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +32%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +188%
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $0 $0 +20%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +113%
Chisinau: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Jun 12 $0 −$20 -6324%
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -95%
Cervia: Juan Martin vs Michele Ribecai Jun 12 $646 −$608 -94%
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +23%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 18.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +52%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +170%
Parma: Dominika Salkova vs Mayar Sherif Jun 12 $0 +$436 +192622%
Birmingham: Jacob Fearnley vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $0 $0 +89%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 −$1 -444%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 +$85 +39949%
Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +54%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 −$1 -403%
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07? Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 −$31 -34491%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% +$278,565
other 26% −$96,606
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 41¢ $5 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 63¢ $2,075 40m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 62¢ $2,076 40m
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 29¢ $163 1h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 54¢ $27 1h
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang BUY Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 54¢ $23 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $16 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $3 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $39 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $17 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $5 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $24 1h
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito BUY Sara Saito 87¢ $44 1h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) BUY Las Vegas Aces 50¢ $6 4h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $535 4h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 89¢ $8 4h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 89¢ $3 4h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 49¢ $0 4h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 49¢ $5 4h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 49¢ $0 4h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 49¢ $5 4h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 49¢ $0 4h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) BUY PortlandFire 49¢ $6 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)+15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 520 +27.4% +15.3% 22% 22% -43.8%
≤30d 520 +27.4% +15.3% 22% 22% -43.8%
≤90d 520 +27.4% +15.3% 22% 22% -43.8%
all 520 +27.4% +15.3% 22% 22% -43.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3431.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +15.3% 22% -43.8%
10% +4.2% 20% -49.2%
15% ← realistic here -5.8% 19% -54.1%
20% -15.1% 18% -58.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $216,191.82 · official $216,150.91 (match) · 3500 history records