Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe79…eee7
crypto · 45 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$33 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses29 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)44 / 45
History coverage6d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day19.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days−$33
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes 61¢ 60¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$40 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$19 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$5 -49%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $10 +$19 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 08 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$2 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $36 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 07 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 07 $19 −$6 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 07 $5 +$10 +190%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 06 $10 −$10 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 06 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$43
sports 5% +$11
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-0.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 +9.7% -0.8% 66% 50% -14.1%
≤30d 44 +9.7% -0.8% 66% 50% -14.1%
≤90d 44 +9.7% -0.8% 66% 50% -14.1%
all 44 +9.7% -0.8% 66% 50% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.8% 50% -14.1%
10% -10.3% 45% -22.3%
15% -18.9% 32% -29.8%
20% -26.9% 25% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.92 · official $9.92 (match) · 185 history records