Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:16:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfe90…5ce2
sports · 367 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$210 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$203 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized−$203
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses209 / 151
Est. fees paid−$102
Open positions7
Markets (closed)360 / 367
History coverage64d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 360 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$52
30 days−$749
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 56¢ 48¢ $9 $7 −$1 (-14%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 63¢ 52¢ $9 $7 −$2 (-19%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 80¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$1 (+26%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 71¢ 78¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+11%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Darwin Blanch 67¢ 84¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+26%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 44¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 63¢ 60¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 79¢ 72¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-10%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 38¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-44%)
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Kamil Majchrzak 64¢ 34¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-48%)
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Henrique Rocha 51¢ 16¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-70%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $9 −$2 -27%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $4 −$1 -20%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $5 −$1 -18%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $2 +$1 +33%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $14 −$3 -18%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $4 −$2 -48%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $6 $0 -6%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $4 $0 -9%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $4 $0 -11%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $18 −$1 -4%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $9 +$1 +11%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $9 $0 -2%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $7 $0 +2%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $8 −$1 -10%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $13 −$1 -7%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $2 $0 +2%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $5 $0 -6%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Federico Bondioli Jun 11 $2 +$1 +61%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $4 $0 -0%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $2 +$1 +49%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $4 −$1 -21%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $4 −$1 -30%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 $0 +12%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $2 $0 +18%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $17 −$1 -7%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $10 −$1 -8%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $35 +$1 +4%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $8 −$3 -43%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $14 +$2 +13%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $17 +$1 +8%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $12 −$1 -12%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $4 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$205
politics 0% −$8
other 0% +$2
crypto 0% +$2
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 81¢ $1 5m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 65¢ $1 5m
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Kamil Majchrzak 63¢ $1 6m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 78¢ $1 8m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 78¢ $1 13m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 56¢ $1 15m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $1 18m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 40¢ $1 22m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 49¢ $1 24m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 63¢ $1 40m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 63¢ $1 42m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 54¢ $1 47m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 52¢ $1 47m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 37¢ $1 50m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 40¢ $1 53m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 65¢ $1 54m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $1 59m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Harriet Dart 45¢ $1 59m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 92¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 67¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 67¢ $1 1h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 96¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 67¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 67¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 64¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 66¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 39¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 29¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 79¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 79¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 +2.7% -7.0% 59% 36% -11.0%
≤30d 222 -0.0% -9.6% 58% 34% -35.7%
≤90d 360 +3.0% -6.8% 58% 41% -11.5%
all 360 +3.0% -6.8% 58% 41% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 41% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 26% -20.0%
15% -23.9% 18% -27.7%
20% -31.3% 11% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.28 · official $36.29 (match) · 3500 history records