trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -1.1% | -10.6% | 58% | 58% | +1.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -5.3% | -14.3% | 60% | 60% | -8.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 54% | 54% | -12.2% |
| all | 24 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 54% | 54% | -12.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.9% | 54% | -12.2% |
| 10% | -16.7% | 33% | -20.6% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 33% | -28.3% |
| 20% | -32.1% | 25% | -35.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 4¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-58%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -76% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +55% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -31% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$2 | +112% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$1 | -71% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +81% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -82% |
| Will Peru vs. Spain end in a draw? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -92% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +14% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +21% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | May 07 | $2 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | May 06 | $3 | $0 | -16% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Club Alianza Lima win on 2026-05-02? | May 03 | $2 | $0 | +19% |
| Will FC Cajamarca win on 2026-05-02? | May 02 | $1 | +$1 | +113% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | May 01 | $6 | −$2 | -28% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1? | May 01 | $1 | +$2 | +153% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 29 | $2 | −$1 | -51% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $1 | +$1 | +131% |