Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T01:55:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
FE 0xfea4…d61b crypto 233 markets active 0h ago coverage 38d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 38d only
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$1,870 (-12%) realized −$1,870 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate68%159W / 74L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day71.3pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$50
7 days+$50
14 days+$20
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 149 +0.8% -8.8% 87% 2% -9.0%
≤30d 185 +0.1% -9.4% 76% 3% -9.9%
≤90d 233 -0.2% -9.7% 68% 4% -10.6%
all 233 -0.2% -9.7% 68% 4% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 4% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 2% -19.2%
15% -26.2% 1% -27.0%
20% -33.4% 1% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 13% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
11.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.27 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,870
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses159 / 74
Open positions0
Markets (closed)233 / 233
History coverage38d ⚠
Avg bet$69
Trades / day71.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 233 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $58 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 20 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $49 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 20 $57 −$13 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 19 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 19 $59 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 19 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 19 $59 −$6 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 19 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 19 $56 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 19 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 19 $59 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $59 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 19 $59 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $58 −$54 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $59 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $59 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $58 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 19 $58 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Down 92¢ $55 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $58 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $59 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $49 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $56 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $58 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $53 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $58 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $56 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $58 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $59 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records