Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:08:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

FE
0xfead…0124
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses70 / 20
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage1d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day184.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $19 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$7 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$16 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$4 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +1.0% -8.6% 78% 49% -8.3%
≤30d 90 +1.0% -8.6% 78% 49% -8.3%
≤90d 90 +1.0% -8.6% 78% 49% -8.3%
all 90 +1.0% -8.6% 78% 49% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover184.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 49% -8.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.4% 16% -17.0%
15% -25.4% 2% -25.0%
20% -32.7% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 189 history records