Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T11:17:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
FE 0xfeb4…2d0a crypto 38 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (139 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$20 (-0%) realized −$20 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate76%29W / 9L
Whale WR70%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1,387per market
Trades / day139.0pace
Fees−$67est.
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 58% +$1,733
other 34% −$2,354
sports 8% +$1,993
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (139 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +10.3% -0.2% 76% 61% -7.0%
≤30d 38 +10.3% -0.2% 76% 61% -7.0%
≤90d 38 +10.3% -0.2% 76% 61% -7.0%
all 38 +10.3% -0.2% 76% 61% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover139.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.2% 61% -7.0%
10% -9.8% 47% -15.9%
15% ← realistic here -18.5% 32% -24.1%
20% -26.5% 21% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 25% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 70% (≥$2,511) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +6% → late +14% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$303 vs −$823 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.19 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses29 / 9
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$67
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,387
Trades / day139.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 38 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 27 $175 +$72 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 27 $4,211 −$170 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 27 $309 +$42 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 27 $104 +$100 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 27 $207 −$191 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 27 $1,337 +$474 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 27 $1,203 +$133 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 27 $205 +$115 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 27 $308 +$165 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 27 $307 +$138 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 27 $201 +$22 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 27 $305 +$83 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 27 $195 +$100 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 27 $248 +$39 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 27 $2,964 +$984 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 27 $311 −$311 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 27 $2,740 +$656 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 27 $2,839 −$2,839 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 27 $1,230 +$650 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 27 $103 +$64 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 27 $107 +$35 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 27 $2,562 +$874 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 27 $2,505 +$66 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 27 $2,526 +$207 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 27 $2,511 +$131 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 27 $1,007 +$96 +10%
Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? Jun 27 $677 +$836 +124%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $1,670 −$1,228 -74%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $2,011 +$253 +13%
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? Jun 27 $2,393 +$1,180 +49%
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $3,741 −$2,636 -70%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? Jun 27 $3,759 +$352 +9%
Will France win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $1,803 +$565 +31%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26? Jun 26 $4,998 +$340 +7%
Senegal to score first vs. Iraq? Jun 26 $916 −$24 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $48 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $71 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $103 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4,040 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2,196 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1,810 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $103 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $313 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $39 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $103 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $102 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $204 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $104 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $16 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1,643 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $77 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $275 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $752 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $103 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $92 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1,337 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $494 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $524 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $82 42m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 161 history records